Tuesday, November 23, 2010

After waiting for the next wave of renewed stock market crash

 After waiting for the next wave of renewed collapse (not Zhuanzhai)
the stock market crash shows only two points.
First, trends in this market investors are likely to account for more than 80%, they are followed by actions to operate, so such a market will be strong positive feedback effect.
Second, the market prices in addition to outside liquidity is indeed nothing else to say, the recovery is the story (stock market) in the story.
when the investment becomes a pure money game. the mentality of the market will become more vulnerable. this time any sign of trouble could cause huge market fluctuations. as Biography like a flower drum, no one wants to spend their own hands when the drums stop. so once market panic, investors getaway, the market plummeted.
to see who is the first to touch a butterfly's wings, this time is likely to be another stock market bubble burst, I thought too soon, as a whole, stock valuations are more expensive, from all previous classic bubble scenario point of view, from the ridiculous situation of a burst bubble is still relatively far away.
, of course, In my opinion, if we consciously false fire at low tide, for the country in terms of the hell. Everyone knows that the bubble really big, long duration, and rupture of the devastating impact of economic and financial system, such as eighteen years ago Japan and the United States last year.
from last Friday, all markets around the world are beginning to tune out.
this time is the China factor is totally lead the world in the fall, one week in advance, the Chinese market began to slump, global start ignored, still as strong as it climbed, it finally seems that China has begun to 40% demand increase in the contribution of the China factor,Bailey UGG boots, and now 90% of the global increment of Chinese. If China quit, global capital will not find a direction. stock market,UGG boots clearance, commodity market crash, only to return to U.S. government bonds, considered a solution to help around Geithner and Bernanke.
I believe, will be renewed wave of the near future. Depression year for capital giants are making fortunes by surfing, wave after wave. the last century during the Great Depression 30 years, more than 20% of the U.S. stock market rally had 4 times, not to mention we are facing an unprecedented liquidity loose it?
crash originated in the tightening expectations, renewed wave of the source from the economic Pita, the money's gone way no way.
for 8 months of economic stimulus, 7.4 trillion over 30% of the credit and investment increase will pull the economy up, if the short term then dropping it, is the decision-making can not be tolerated.
Although we know that, in order to take over the government's ban of private capital to maintain the sustainability of economic growth, the need for them to build a broad platform to break the monopoly of good faith , open to them, so more money will flow to an entity in order digestion virtual virtual fire.
non-public 36 have enacted nearly 4 years, in the face of the country back into full swing, I am afraid is the individual wishful thinking.
a lot of people are talking about the Americans will withdraw, and Americans do not look at the key money out Bernanke, and see Geithner, a very simple Bureau. is the U.S. government to spend money. This is but is clear that many people thought.
U.S. government estimates the cumulative deficit for the year was 1.84 trillion, from October 2009 to September 2010 was 1.26 trillion deficit, a deficit from 2010 to 2019 while total to 7.1 trillion U.S. dollars.
money come from?
first residents by the United States, American families will be a corresponding increase in their savings, which means economic contraction.
Second,UGG boots, this often to China account surpluses by, if the U.S. families are saving, these countries, trade surplus has come from? sides of a coin. U.S. current-account surplus this year should be cut in half to 4,000 billion U.S. dollars, China's surplus corresponding will also be cut in half,UGGs, from 4,400 billion dollars in 2008 fell to 200 billion U.S. dollars.
Geithner does not go how we can guarantee a third way, by the Bernanke.
received in time, Bernanke says liquidity (buying bonds will no longer be expanded), to curb inflation. Whatever is Bernanke buy bonds, or commercial banks to buy. control the inevitable result of monetary expansion is only one:
that by the time when Geithner to be received from other sectors of the economy of liquidity, so to control monetary expansion, the so-called crowding-out effect of fiscal deficits. This will strangle the economic recovery of the buds.
we all know it, this is the problem the United States The key to the Government's debt, is also key to the future dollars.
you think Americans would do such a choice.
my sincere hope that when the next wave of resurgence, not because of China's launch of the next stimulus plan . but the real structural reform, reform of the system through the release of dividends, the wealth of absorbing the world stone.

No comments:

Post a Comment